111Cleophus-Grimble
0x42334ed726e750f62a38d8a4ba684e05ffba2693
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $109.0k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$0.60 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$778.16 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$461.33at 0.630Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$318.72at 0.640Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$26.25at 0.973EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
- +$21.76at 0.183Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$8.37at 0.991Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 10-13 05:34 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $652.35 |
| 10-13 05:34 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $550.42 |
| 10-11 09:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $222.78 |
| 10-11 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.06 |
| 10-11 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $590.16 |
| 10-11 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $311.25 |
| 09-23 11:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $92.06 |
| 09-23 11:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 09-21 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 09-20 03:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $661.34 |
| 09-20 03:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $307.42 |
| 09-20 03:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $225.72 |
| 09-18 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 09-16 03:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $504.50 |