111Cleophus-Grimble
0x42334ed726e750f62a38d8a4ba684e05ffba2693
- Realised P&L
- $-4.3k
- Volume
- $75.0k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $510.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $510.96 | +$0.26 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$778.16 |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.12at 0.623Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$318.72at 0.640Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
- +$52.03at 0.179Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$26.25at 0.973EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?
- +$8.81at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $510.71 |
| 08-03 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $153.85 |
| 08-03 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $832.68 |
| 08-03 09:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $153.84 |
| 07-31 06:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $154.84 |
| 07-31 06:36 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $984.01 |
| 07-30 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $42.78 |
| 07-30 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $14.87 |
| 07-30 02:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $838.51 |
| 07-30 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $233.84 |
| 07-29 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $223.78 |
| 07-29 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $599.39 |
| 07-29 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 07-29 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $286.78 |
| 07-28 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $645.35 |