897576
0x422cb4617ac2c1ec9ebc3b39026c8f54cdca7287
- Realised P&L
- $82.18
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $39.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.051 | $21.38 | −$49.20 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.038 | $9.76 | −$90.24 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.117 | $8.42 | −$18.52 |
| Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$480.81at 0.474Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
- +$97.65at 0.170Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$93.72at 0.799Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
- +$57.00at 0.760Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 8-14?
- +$54.68at 0.706Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 07:38 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3757346561 | $26.94 |
| 06-15 07:28 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $30.25 |
| 02-06 00:31 | Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | BUY | 0.169999999 | $144.03 |
| 01-09 15:38 | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BUY | 0.6799999944 | $97.94 |
| 01-09 15:33 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.394656353 | $100.00 |
| 12-31 18:22 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.52 |
| 12-30 06:55 | Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.1517168476 | $32.00 |
| 12-23 04:14 | Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | SELL | 0.2958632257 | $191.91 |
| 12-22 06:40 | Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.3992977747 | $149.41 |
| 12-21 09:50 | Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.364315152 | $100.00 |
| 12-19 16:45 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? | SELL | 0.4988236 | $249.41 |
| 12-10 07:31 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 8-14? | BUY | 0.76 | $180.50 |
| 12-07 06:54 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in December? | BUY | 0.1913611904 | $100.00 |
| 11-29 08:03 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 11-29 07:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 29? | BUY | 0.3899999994 | $200.00 |