0x42292b703ad400df321020091760f81f89a13e2b
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $702.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.41at 0.968Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:08 | Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6? | SELL | 0.997 | $82.75 |
| 11-01 14:05 | Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6? | BUY | 0.968 | $80.34 |
| 11-01 07:05 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.034 | $3.53 |
| 11-01 07:05 | Will more than 575,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $39.04 |
| 10-31 12:13 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 10:20 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.91 | $80.00 |
| 10-31 10:20 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $75.00 |
| 10-31 10:20 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $49.99 |
| 10-31 10:20 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $110.00 |