PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xZZZx

0x4226cf7b5f4072750ef4edbbb9248c7a4cdfaecf

Realised P&L
$-452.57
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$102.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.160$72.36−$4.24
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.8130.585$25.35−$9.88
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.6100.895$5.05+$1.61
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$77.96
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15? · No0.9610.000$0.00−$288.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 16:28Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999992$31.00
10-12 16:27Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$5.10
10-12 16:27Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$25.50
10-12 16:27Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$15.00
10-12 03:25US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.34$44.20
10-05 14:30Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?SELL0.8706092408$63.88
10-04 17:58Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?BUY0.9539999995$70.00
04-25 11:18Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?BUY0.95$22.13
01-08 22:08Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?SELL0.09$77.96
12-20 02:10Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?BUY0.69$58.37
12-20 02:10Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?BUY0.68$26.23
12-19 20:07Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.2599999971$46.11
12-19 18:05Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.24$18.40
12-19 18:05Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?SELL0.23$18.40
12-19 18:04Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?BUY0.23$26.10