asdhjkashjdk
0x421fc46e5ed0c093463f36ac9971b00ccf843ed9
- Realised P&L
- $-193.60
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.45at 0.700Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$3.92at 0.938Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?
- +$1.41at 0.910Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 25–30%?
- +$1.03at 0.919Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?
- +$-1.56at 0.078Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:50 | Will anyone say "God" 5+ times during President Curtis E4 S1? | BUY | 0.735 | $147.00 |
| 08-10 20:56 | Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.9k |
| 08-10 20:19 | Will K27 Esports make playoffs? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 08-10 19:57 | Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.9k |