PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KonImperator

0x421c1812d47cef2779e982457a3b2c461b421371

Realised P&L
$-150.39
Volume
$28.7k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$23.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · Yes0.0340.017$22.61$23.55
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0990.015$0.31$1.69
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0370.003$0.13$1.87
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$110.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 18:31Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$10.00
06-03 19:10Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?SELL0.299$18.12
04-05 21:22Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008$100.00
01-23 19:27Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.006$5.17
01-21 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.0484401642$69.42
01-06 20:59Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0129482072$40.00
12-29 10:35Lighter Airdrop on December 29?BUY0.7522926777$117.09
12-27 12:50Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.0140000001$1.00
12-27 12:25Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY0.0247807855$1.00
12-27 12:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY0.016$1.00
12-27 12:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY0.0157896814$1.00
12-27 12:24Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY0.013548562$1.00
12-27 12:24Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY0.007516662$1.00
12-27 12:23Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
12-27 12:23Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY0.003$1.00