KonImperator
0x421c1812d47cef2779e982457a3b2c461b421371
- Realised P&L
- $-150.39
- Volume
- $28.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $23.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.017 | $22.61 | −$23.55 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.015 | $0.31 | −$1.69 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.003 | $0.13 | −$1.87 |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.55at 0.752Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$36.98at 0.528Clavicular charged by Jan 31?
- +$16.12at 0.033Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
- +$-1.00at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.008Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 18:31 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 19:10 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.299 | $18.12 |
| 04-05 21:22 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $100.00 |
| 01-23 19:27 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $5.17 |
| 01-21 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.0484401642 | $69.42 |
| 01-06 20:59 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0129482072 | $40.00 |
| 12-29 10:35 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | BUY | 0.7522926777 | $117.09 |
| 12-27 12:50 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.0140000001 | $1.00 |
| 12-27 12:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0247807855 | $1.00 |
| 12-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 12-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0157896814 | $1.00 |
| 12-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.013548562 | $1.00 |
| 12-27 12:24 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.007516662 | $1.00 |
| 12-27 12:23 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 12-27 12:23 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |