0x421b1bcf6635dbfeb0d7b8f5cd626f93aa7a35f7
0x421b1bcf6635dbfeb0d7b8f5cd626f93aa7a35f7
- Realised P&L
- $0.02
- Volume
- $34.80
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.455 | $1.93 | +$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.510 | $1.91 | +$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.355 | $1.56 | +$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.300 | $1.32 | −$0.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.235 | $1.18 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.220 | $1.10 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.442Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 08:07 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.84 |
| 10-01 04:03 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.72 |
| 10-01 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.54 |
| 10-01 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 10-01 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.53 |
| 10-01 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 00:06 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.54 |