AntonKovac
0x42128159cb6d8ad1440030f3ed68883a1a2baacf
- Realised P&L
- $420.55
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $40.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar23.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.525 | $27.26 | +$0.26 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.705 | $12.82 | +$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.23at 0.309Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30?
- +$22.26at 0.627Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026?
- +$2.35at 0.830Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.980Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31?
- +$-0.11at 0.605Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:45 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.6599999879 | $12.00 |
| 09-23 20:45 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $27.00 |
| 09-17 06:40 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999973 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 20:46 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.31 | $7.55 |
| 09-16 20:37 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.2899999989 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 11:29 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.3099999973 | $25.00 |
| 09-16 11:28 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 04:55 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01440004 | $1.44 |
| 09-15 19:21 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 17:24 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.29 |
| 09-11 22:13 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | BUY | 0.4299999908 | $10.24 |
| 09-11 22:11 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 22:06 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 09-09 05:40 | Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999987 | $12.89 |
| 09-09 05:38 | Will Russia enter Preobrazhenka by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.83 |