t189
0x4210a55de70f48a7eb6beef74886ec87dbc97e30
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $1.08M
- Markets traded
- 20,900
- Open portfolio
- $12.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded20,900
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.00at 0.017Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
- +$99.00at 0.010Julius Randle: Assists Over 4.5
- +$99.00at 0.010Will "Santa" or "Elf" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?
- +$99.00at 0.010Will "Coffee" or "Tea" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?
- +$99.00at 0.010Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:26 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.0625 | $1.25 |
| 11-02 03:26 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.083125 | $1.33 |
| 11-02 03:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.1538461538 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 03:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $1.68 |
| 11-01 22:21 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.64 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.72 |
| 11-01 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $9.45 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.04 | $0.64 |
| 11-01 12:16 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 11-01 12:16 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.36 |
| 11-01 12:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.72 |
| 11-01 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.96 |
| 11-01 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $1.89 |
| 11-01 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $0.81 |
| 11-01 01:36 | Solana Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | SELL | 0.213125 | $3.41 |