0x4208ee687122f0845f8ff3d38588c2177e8b3911-1793197734995
0x4208ee687122f0845f8ff3d38588c2177e8b3911
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.978 | $876.79 | −$9.16 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.950 | $311.60 | +$68.88 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 29, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $294.57 | +$1.33 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 14, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.959 | $142.89 | −$4.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.87at 0.999Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.38at 0.997Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on or prior to October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:01 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.985065666 | $189.01 |
| 10-31 23:09 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $242.72 |
| 10-31 21:54 | Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9985196375 | $2.6k |
| 10-31 21:54 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on or prior to October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $124.63 |
| 10-29 14:07 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $293.24 |
| 10-29 14:07 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.9884399155 | $696.94 |
| 10-29 14:06 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $147.51 |