PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4208ee687122f0845f8ff3d38588c2177e8b3911-1793197734995

0x4208ee687122f0845f8ff3d38588c2177e8b3911

Realised P&L
$0.00
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026? · No0.9880.978$876.79−$9.16
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.7400.950$311.60+$68.88
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 29, 2026? · No0.9900.995$294.57+$1.33
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 14, 2026? · No0.9900.959$142.89−$4.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:01Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026?BUY0.985065666$189.01
10-31 23:09Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026?BUY0.74$242.72
10-31 21:54Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9985196375$2.6k
10-31 21:54Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on or prior to October 31, 2026?BUY0.997$124.63
10-29 14:07Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 29, 2026?BUY0.99$293.24
10-29 14:07Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 28, 2026?BUY0.9884399155$696.94
10-29 14:06Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on November 14, 2026?BUY0.99$147.51