Fabiandfds
0x420730b141f04cc81562b47834fb56d434dbc6bc
- Realised P&L
- $-22.68
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 11? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
| Spurs vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Suns vs. Pistons · Suns | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.021Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.06at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?
- +$0.02at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 11? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 09-16 03:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 07-29 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 05-28 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28? | BUY | 0.9889999426 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 05:09 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.992 | $8.07 |
| 05-28 01:49 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $8.10 |
| 04-16 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $6.48 |
| 03-17 03:45 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9899999865 | $5.88 |
| 03-11 06:30 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.88 |
| 03-04 07:13 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.90 |
| 03-03 06:46 | Spurs vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 01-22 09:03 | Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $184.95 |
| 01-22 06:52 | Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $185.14 |
| 01-22 06:50 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $234.99 |
| 01-22 03:50 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $235.23 |