0x41fe00edf54237fa5b64e3c45452eda3d4a10162
- Realised P&L
- $-127.62
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.066 | $4.14 | −$25.86 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.022 | $0.69 | −$14.31 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.56at 0.604Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
- +$-4.00at 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10?
- +$-10.00at 0.031Will the US strike Somalia next?
- +$-20.00at 0.170Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
- +$-20.00at 0.222Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 09:46 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 03-22 20:14 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0439999958 | $10.00 |
| 03-22 20:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.6039999903 | $10.00 |
| 03-08 12:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 03-01 14:27 | Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | BUY | 0.4749999972 | $30.00 |
| 03-01 14:26 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 14:09 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 14:08 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.0308764911 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 14:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.2219999916 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 12:23 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0440032386 | $10.00 |