headsh0t
0x41f3b515c133850bc03e72b3bfaa42cf0962844e
- Realised P&L
- $19.7k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 584
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded584
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.520 | $520.00 | −$450.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5? · No | 0.220 | 0.135 | $474.63 | −$298.84 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 5? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.105 | $168.21 | −$247.43 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.110 | $152.47 | −$85.87 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on August 5? · No | 0.104 | 0.071 | $70.90 | −$33.30 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.970 | $7.76 | +$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.713SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?
- +$1.5kat 0.007S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.983Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?
- +$1.2kat 0.282WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4?
- +$940.94at 0.308WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:55 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 5? | BUY | 0.1583333333 | $95.00 |
| 08-05 15:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $320.64 |
| 08-05 15:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on August 5? | BUY | 0.1042 | $104.20 |
| 08-05 15:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $553.48 |
| 08-05 15:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $220.00 |
| 08-05 14:00 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $100 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $970.00 |
| 08-05 04:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.52 | $156.68 |
| 08-05 04:15 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.512529349 | $960.48 |
| 08-05 04:15 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.16 |
| 08-05 03:31 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $210.37 |
| 08-05 02:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.1112350176 | $9.47 |
| 08-05 02:01 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.4074953618 | $1.1k |
| 08-04 21:40 | Will SpaceX say "Data Center" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.0127820225 | $0.28 |
| 08-04 20:49 | Will SpaceX say "Data Center" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 08-04 20:34 | Will SpaceX say "Elon" or "Musk" 3+ times during earnings call? | SELL | 0.0111754826 | $2.67 |