PolyBot

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Traders

grapygroyp

0x41f34763a4cca3681d05024b8a23ec883b3b6202

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$105.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.2880.038$1.1k−$6.9k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2190.041$42.41−$186.59
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$77.66
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3480.000$0.00−$932.08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$100.00
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 14? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$45.97
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$50.00
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$50.00
Iran leadership change by March 13? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$20.00
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3690.000$0.00−$116.00
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 16:10GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.2910015851$477.33
05-20 16:04GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.2599999985$100.00
05-20 16:04GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.2481812671$16.38
05-20 16:03GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.2277924403$34.35
04-13 17:36GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.3542019261$130.53
04-13 16:45GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.360598776$730.61
04-08 19:13GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.3680049654$699.64
04-03 17:29GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.4$113.08
04-03 17:29GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.3898718264$221.74
04-03 17:28GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.37602589$40.67
04-03 17:27GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.3546884287$150.38
04-02 08:47GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.27$8.10
04-01 16:09GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.25$490.25
03-15 20:41China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.22$50.00
03-15 20:41China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.22$50.00