grapygroyp
0x41f34763a4cca3681d05024b8a23ec883b3b6202
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $105.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.096Iran strike on US military by February 28?
- +$700.00at 0.150US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$400.00at 0.100Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$160.05at 0.313Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.47at 0.520Will Palermo FC win on 2025-12-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 16:10 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.2910015851 | $477.33 |
| 05-20 16:04 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 16:04 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.2481812671 | $16.38 |
| 05-20 16:03 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.2277924403 | $34.35 |
| 04-13 17:36 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.3542019261 | $130.53 |
| 04-13 16:45 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.360598776 | $730.61 |
| 04-08 19:13 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.3680049654 | $699.64 |
| 04-03 17:29 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.4 | $113.08 |
| 04-03 17:29 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.3898718264 | $221.74 |
| 04-03 17:28 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.37602589 | $40.67 |
| 04-03 17:27 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.3546884287 | $150.38 |
| 04-02 08:47 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 04-01 16:09 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.25 | $490.25 |
| 03-15 20:41 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $50.00 |
| 03-15 20:41 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $50.00 |