Quantrix
0x41f1d4573e8f1ae31b35fbc463c70eea18a83dcc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $243.2k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $53.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$324.20at 0.366Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$312.83at 0.155Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?
- +$271.62at 0.417Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$248.99at 0.180Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$245.41at 0.304Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-07 05:00 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.115 | $32.86 |
| 03-07 05:00 | Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2825005001 | $28.24 |
| 03-07 04:58 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.665 | $13.30 |
| 03-07 04:58 | Will Ha Phan advance from the CA-17 primary? | SELL | 0.89 | $4.25 |
| 03-07 04:57 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 03-07 04:57 | Megaquake by June 30? | SELL | 0.23 | $9.20 |
| 02-24 08:50 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.8429907477 | $33.71 |
| 02-24 08:49 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $34.20 |
| 02-24 08:49 | Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | SELL | 0.9 | $41.88 |
| 01-31 07:11 | Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9756 | $97.56 |
| 01-30 12:22 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 01-30 12:22 | Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 01-30 12:21 | Nothing Ever Happens: January | SELL | 0.2778396399 | $16.67 |
| 01-30 12:21 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 01-30 12:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.18 | $18.00 |