irmants
0x41f095a4232b57558a6db41ffa2a4819e0443eeb
- Realised P&L
- $-206.53
- Volume
- $875.0k
- Markets traded
- 590
- Open portfolio
- $558.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded590
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.326Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$3.5kat 0.186Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.0kat 0.226Bucks vs. Wizards
- +$2.7kat 0.465Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
- +$2.7kat 0.567Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 17:30 | LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.98 |
| 08-27 17:24 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.0833974187 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 17:24 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.067178497 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 03:56 | Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara Tauson | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 08-26 15:28 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 14:41 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.25 | $50.00 |
| 08-26 14:10 | Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai Wehnelt | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 09:38 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 151.5 | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-25 17:19 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7313940027 | $272.93 |
| 08-25 05:17 | Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 19:34 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs | SELL | 0.3898924 | $97.47 |
| 08-24 19:29 | Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.18 | $45.00 |
| 08-17 19:30 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.064 | $18.80 |
| 08-02 17:27 | Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtova | BUY | 0.439121748 | $25.00 |
| 07-29 16:13 | ITF Lexington: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Erika Sema | BUY | 0.092999996 | $20.00 |