PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

irmants

0x41f095a4232b57558a6db41ffa2a4819e0443eeb

Realised P&L
$-206.53
Volume
$875.0k
Markets traded
590
Open portfolio
$558.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded590
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2026? · No0.6200.815$489.00+$117.00
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4800.145$64.53$149.07
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0640.018$5.14$13.66
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026? · No0.6190.000$0.00$408.00
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.2860.000$0.00$477.40
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.3980.000$0.00$298.38
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$178.59
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$438.18
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.0430.000$0.00$35.00
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$10.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0570.000$0.00$10.00
Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? · No0.3900.000$0.00$77.00
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · No0.6190.000$0.00$2.5k
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · No0.3260.000$0.00$772.79
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4810.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 17:30LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.94$37.98
08-27 17:24Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.0833974187$10.00
08-27 17:24Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BBUY0.067178497$10.00
08-27 03:56Monterrey Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Clara TausonBUY0.5399999985$50.00
08-26 15:28Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.25$100.00
08-26 14:41Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.25$50.00
08-26 14:10Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Kai WehneltBUY0.6299999982$100.00
08-26 09:38Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 151.5BUY0.4899999991$200.00
08-25 17:19NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7313940027$272.93
08-25 05:17Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna VekicBUY0.5$100.00
08-24 19:34Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier PlayoffsSELL0.3898924$97.47
08-24 19:29Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.18$45.00
08-17 19:30Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.064$18.80
08-02 17:27Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda FruhvirtovaBUY0.439121748$25.00
07-29 16:13ITF Lexington: Mckenna Schaefbauer vs Erika SemaBUY0.092999996$20.00