0x41e28367173a85f290a87f9bf07f3a5dd176458a
0x41e28367173a85f290a87f9bf07f3a5dd176458a
- Realised P&L
- $-100.12
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 458
- Open portfolio
- $9.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded458
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.955 | $9.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.95at 0.792France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$6.87at 0.746Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$5.10at 0.617LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner
- +$4.34at 0.814Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
- +$4.21at 0.322Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on April 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 00:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569999987 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 03:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999154 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 00:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.8799999404 | $13.00 |
| 07-18 15:45 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 00:28 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999928 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 15:32 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3624999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 00:35 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 00:34 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 00:33 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7799999548 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 00:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 00:32 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 08:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 00:32 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 00:29 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 00:29 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |