Aureliennnn
0x41e1b2ba339310efd6ee7059d665eb20c06256da
- Realised P&L
- $-219.30
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $0.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.65at 0.476Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 9?
- +$17.59at 0.267Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?
- +$16.30at 0.348Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?
- +$11.86at 0.394Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 7?
- +$10.40at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 21:51 | Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.11 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.25 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.14 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.27 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.92 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.82 |
| 06-08 13:36 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 06-07 18:17 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25? | BUY | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 05-23 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 25? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 05-15 20:13 | Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 05-15 09:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.80 |
| 05-12 20:19 | Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 05-11 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 05-04 20:44 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY | 0.666 | $13.32 |