PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x41dD44AC448b6EB95e6748aB43097584aB44096d-1771005823640

0x41dd44ac448b6eb95e6748ab43097584ab44096d

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$0.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Carabobo FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira end in a draw? · Yes0.3110.001$0.03$19.97
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$147.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$83.05
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$66.00
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.5960.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 22:21Will Carabobo FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira end in a draw?BUY0.3112537691$20.00
09-15 21:14Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.5959999996$100.00
09-15 19:59Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.999$631.37
09-15 18:17Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.2$96.40
09-15 18:13Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.19$28.50
09-15 18:12Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6680616718$132.59
08-19 20:15Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?BUY0.209999973$4.98
08-19 20:14Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?BUY0.200276841$35.00
05-06 15:50Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999986$48.55
05-05 17:07Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0888396074$50.00
05-05 01:26Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339999991$36.00
05-04 15:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?BUY0.0061117459$62.37
04-15 21:43Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0779999977$30.00
04-15 21:43Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.033$30.00
04-09 02:07Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.076110096$52.00