0x41dD44AC448b6EB95e6748aB43097584aB44096d-1771005823640
0x41dd44ac448b6eb95e6748ab43097584ab44096d
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carabobo FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira end in a draw? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$19.97 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.05 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.00 |
| Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$909.56at 0.117Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$501.43at 0.205Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15?
- +$89.57at 0.208Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?
- +$25.72at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
- +$17.69at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:21 | Will Carabobo FC vs. Deportivo La Guaira end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3112537691 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 21:14 | Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5959999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 19:59 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $631.37 |
| 09-15 18:17 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.2 | $96.40 |
| 09-15 18:13 | Will Valencia CF win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.19 | $28.50 |
| 09-15 18:12 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6680616718 | $132.59 |
| 08-19 20:15 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.209999973 | $4.98 |
| 08-19 20:14 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.200276841 | $35.00 |
| 05-06 15:50 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999986 | $48.55 |
| 05-05 17:07 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.0888396074 | $50.00 |
| 05-05 01:26 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339999991 | $36.00 |
| 05-04 15:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4? | BUY | 0.0061117459 | $62.37 |
| 04-15 21:43 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0779999977 | $30.00 |
| 04-15 21:43 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.033 | $30.00 |
| 04-09 02:07 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.076110096 | $52.00 |