ChuroChad
0x41dc9d2c9d41f1cd2cad9085d399045a39701cf1
- Realised P&L
- $-322.87
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $351.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.417 | 0.710 | $241.74 | +$99.62 |
| Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.871 | $73.66 | −$1.61 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.610 | $26.24 | +$8.49 |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.044 | $10.28 | +$5.10 |
| Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.11at 0.701Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$138.48at 0.420Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$136.81at 0.262Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
- +$120.49at 0.207Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?
- +$119.12at 0.889Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:44 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-17 23:42 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.729634 | $36.48 |
| 09-17 23:41 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.860696534 | $308.92 |
| 09-17 04:26 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-17 04:26 | Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch | BUY | 0.0590827986 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 04:21 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.6306117549 | $8.00 |
| 09-17 04:21 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 04:20 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.6207413973 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 22:01 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:58 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.6 | $7.20 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 04:39 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $13.89 |
| 09-15 04:38 | Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.824 | $61.79 |
| 09-15 04:38 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $109.86 |