PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ChuroChad

0x41dc9d2c9d41f1cd2cad9085d399045a39701cf1

Realised P&L
$-805.91
Volume
$71.5k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3650.455$494.36+$97.32
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6590.715$478.55+$37.11
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · No0.9991.000$116.12+$0.12
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · Yes0.0220.021$19.30$0.70
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2700.310$17.20+$2.19
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever0.1680.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 21:19Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9613757986$76.75
07-18 22:54France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.9779999993$20.00
07-18 22:54France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.0290000001$10.00
07-18 22:50Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.0230149597$10.00
07-18 22:49Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.021402525$10.00
07-18 22:48Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9645761401$71.07
07-17 22:19Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.72$178.24
07-17 20:46Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.72$244.15
07-17 20:46Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.947$153.59
07-17 20:44Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.72$301.42
07-17 05:09Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.6266890756$37.29
07-16 23:04Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.71$42.24
07-16 23:04Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.71$84.48
07-16 23:03Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.42$128.71
07-16 23:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.957$499.42