0x41DaaF6810a41c053AC5cffb9F74FCeC2328F8E8-1760845006923
0x41daaf6810a41c053ac5cffb9f74fcec2328f8e8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.4k
- Volume
- $529.8k
- Markets traded
- 443
- Open portfolio
- $37.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded443
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$705.87at 0.019Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?
- +$591.33at 0.056Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30?
- +$552.64at 0.170Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$420.49at 0.201Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?
- +$283.54at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.035 | $7.00 |
| 09-21 09:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 09-21 09:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.56 |
| 09-21 05:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.0092956908 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 04:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.26 |
| 09-20 20:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 20:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? | BUY | 0.006 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 16:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | SELL | 0.4422410966 | $64.20 |
| 09-20 06:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.062 | $1.61 |
| 09-20 06:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.061 | $0.43 |
| 09-20 06:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.142 | $2.84 |
| 09-20 05:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.144 | $4.20 |
| 09-20 05:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.143 | $0.71 |
| 09-20 05:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.92 |
| 09-20 05:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.68 |