0x41DaaF6810a41c053AC5cffb9F74FCeC2328F8E8-1760845006923
0x41daaf6810a41c053ac5cffb9f74fcec2328f8e8
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $501.7k
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $11.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$705.86at 0.019Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?
- +$649.72at 0.160Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$591.32at 0.056Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30?
- +$426.16at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?
- +$283.53at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.0777142857 | $5.44 |
| 08-04 06:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.071 | $9.94 |
| 08-03 14:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 3? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 14:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 3? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 14:33 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 3? | SELL | 0.274 | $13.70 |
| 08-03 14:33 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 3? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 3? | BUY | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 08-03 08:04 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 3? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 08-02 18:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $24.71 |
| 08-02 18:27 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.98 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 2? | BUY | 0.2254901791 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 05:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 28? | BUY | 0.4499999866 | $10.06 |
| 07-27 15:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 27? | BUY | 0.0579999464 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 15:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 27? | BUY | 0.0587649131 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 15:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 27? | BUY | 0.0631786772 | $10.00 |