PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x41DaaF6810a41c053AC5cffb9F74FCeC2328F8E8-1760845006923

0x41daaf6810a41c053ac5cffb9f74fcec2328f8e8

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$529.8k
Markets traded
443
Open portfolio
$37.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded443
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September? · Yes0.0060.004$20.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · Yes0.0040.002$10.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21? · Yes0.0360.013$3.83$7.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21? · Yes0.0090.005$2.96$2.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 21? · Yes0.0430.007$0.69$3.54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$29.53
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on August 27? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 25? · No0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 8? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 3? · No0.0570.000$0.00$17.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 22? · No0.0710.000$0.00$4.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$13.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$44.48
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 19? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$7.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 20-26? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$12.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 10:00Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21?BUY0.035$7.00
09-21 09:30Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21?BUY0.03$0.18
09-21 09:27Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 21?BUY0.04$0.56
09-21 05:02Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 21?BUY0.0092956908$5.00
09-21 04:56Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 21?BUY0.043$0.26
09-20 20:17Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?BUY0.004$20.00
09-20 20:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.006$30.00
09-20 16:41Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?SELL0.4422410966$64.20
09-20 06:56Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.062$1.61
09-20 06:56Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.061$0.43
09-20 06:28Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.142$2.84
09-20 05:48Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.144$4.20
09-20 05:42Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.143$0.71
09-20 05:42Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.14$3.92
09-20 05:41Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?BUY0.14$1.68