725806098741130845768913139128900562493756
0x41d078a2d776812a727109e55e52c507880f6256
- Realised P&L
- $2.13
- Volume
- $36.84
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $8.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flyers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.495 | $1.77 | +$0.02 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.585 | $1.74 | −$0.01 |
| Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.545 | $1.73 | −$0.02 |
| Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.535 | $1.73 | −$0.02 |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.505 | $1.70 | −$0.05 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.46at 0.512Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
- +$1.35at 0.532New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 170.5
- +$1.01at 0.602Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5
- +$-0.15at 0.392Blackhawks vs. Islanders
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 19:17 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5899999393 | $1.75 |
| 10-08 19:17 | Blackhawks vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.75 |
| 10-08 19:16 | Blackhawks vs. Islanders | SELL | 0.37 | $1.70 |
| 10-08 19:13 | Blackhawks vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.3799999305 | $1.75 |
| 10-08 19:12 | Flyers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.4899999412 | $1.75 |
| 10-08 19:11 | Canucks vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $1.75 |
| 10-08 19:09 | Utah vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54999989 | $1.75 |
| 10-07 18:12 | New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 170.5 | BUY | 0.5199998891 | $1.50 |
| 10-07 18:11 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5199998891 | $1.50 |
| 10-07 18:10 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $1.50 |
| 10-07 16:20 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.50 |