myfatsarearmour
0x41cf6702a02f91abdc2d57cdca37793374098268
- Realised P&L
- $-727.45
- Volume
- $50.0k
- Markets traded
- 736
- Open portfolio
- $143.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded736
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State vs. Alabama · Alabama | 0.600 | 0.895 | $44.75 | +$14.75 |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss · LSU | 0.580 | 0.575 | $24.78 | −$0.22 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) · Mississippi State | 0.530 | 0.600 | $22.64 | +$2.64 |
| Spread: Florida (-2.5) · Auburn | 0.510 | 0.335 | $13.14 | −$6.86 |
| Spread: Alabama (-19.5) · Florida State | 0.550 | 0.685 | $12.45 | +$2.45 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-35.5) · Tennessee | 0.500 | 0.495 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Virginia Tech vs. Maryland · Virginia Tech | 0.570 | 0.545 | $9.56 | −$0.44 |
| East Carolina vs. Old Dominion · East Carolina | 0.440 | 0.145 | $6.59 | −$13.41 |
| New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$87.50 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| California vs. Syracuse: O/U 56.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$149.88at 0.551Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame: O/U 45.5
- +$107.22at 0.621Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
- +$90.92at 0.691Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acosta
- +$72.79at 0.552Spread: Rams (-4.5)
- +$65.09at 0.592Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 23:18 | Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 23:13 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 22:53 | Florida State vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 22:52 | SMU vs. Louisville | SELL | 0.94 | $131.93 |
| 09-19 21:08 | Spread: Alabama (-19.5) | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 21:02 | Spread: Tennessee (-35.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 20:45 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.988 | $24.10 |
| 09-19 20:27 | Spread: Florida (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 20:26 | East Carolina vs. Old Dominion | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 20:24 | Virginia Tech vs. Maryland | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 20:18 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 20:11 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.58 | $78.64 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 20:01 | SMU vs. Louisville | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $40.00 |