rmj101
0x41c759c84e9f931b37ab853b1c235ab95077fe4e
- Realised P&L
- $-878.09
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 400
- Open portfolio
- $10.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded400
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$486.49at 0.525Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
- +$278.00at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
- +$208.50at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$194.93at 0.711Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$179.06at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:16 | Will Trump say "Epstein" in September? | BUY | 0.152297793 | $15.00 |
| 09-13 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 17:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $7.40 |
| 09-12 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 16:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 08-25 23:11 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.135 | $1.85 |
| 08-25 16:13 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.3679999637 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 15:46 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.360999898 | $2.00 |
| 03-03 00:09 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.212 | $1.20 |
| 03-03 00:09 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.787 | $1.20 |
| 03-03 00:09 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.21 |