yujhggkuy
0x41c605b0c41e7ea897a7f75e413d0de95a574e9b
- Realised P&L
- $50.26
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $234.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · No | 0.988 | 0.990 | $155.24 | +$0.24 |
| Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31? · No | 0.988 | 0.980 | $79.32 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.66at 0.972Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.93at 0.969Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
- +$5.00at 0.960Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
- +$4.85at 0.979Solana Up or Down on November 9?
- +$3.85at 0.988Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 06:15 | Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by October 31? | BUY | 0.9879035502 | $80.00 |
| 10-03 06:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $155.00 |
| 09-14 06:09 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999943 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 06:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999955 | $140.00 |
| 08-17 07:20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999882 | $70.00 |
| 08-17 07:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $160.00 |
| 07-10 07:26 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.9839999942 | $101.00 |
| 07-10 07:25 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $120.00 |
| 06-24 05:08 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $170.00 |
| 06-11 07:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $171.00 |
| 06-11 07:43 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9829999978 | $150.00 |
| 06-11 07:43 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $170.00 |
| 05-25 05:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $167.00 |
| 05-13 05:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.9879999975 | $330.00 |
| 05-13 05:19 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9857310136 | $160.00 |