jerrytx
0x41bd113c3e670329267d5330dad99ad92ba62c51
- Realised P&L
- $89.84
- Volume
- $49.5k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.994 | $654.05 | +$3.29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 17? · No | 0.985 | 0.996 | $544.81 | +$6.02 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.986 | 0.996 | $4.37 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.805Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 8?
- +$199.56at 0.964Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9?
- +$11.10at 0.965Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11?
- +$10.75at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?
- +$10.32at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 01:21 | Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | SELL | 0.967 | $3.98 |
| 07-27 03:46 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.23 |
| 06-17 23:43 | Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.05 |
| 06-17 23:43 | Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.68 |
| 06-17 23:42 | Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $2.68 |
| 06-17 23:42 | Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.71 |
| 05-16 02:48 | Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 04-22 11:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.68 |
| 04-19 11:41 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.929999993 | $4.00 |
| 04-19 02:54 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9659997632 | $3.90 |
| 04-17 10:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 23? | BUY | 0.8599999865 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 20:53 | Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.68 |
| 04-12 17:26 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.9519999528 | $5.00 |
| 04-10 20:53 | Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9889999995 | $6.00 |
| 04-09 00:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $380.62 |