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Traders

0x41bcf310c381d3dbd633f15e767bbb61e9697b53

0x41bcf310c381d3dbd633f15e767bbb61e9697b53

Realised P&L
$26.97
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$10.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.9150.905$3.92−$0.04
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.495$1.90−$0.02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · Yes0.7200.685$1.27−$0.07
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2700.265$1.14−$0.02
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.2700.265$1.14−$0.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? · Yes0.0560.023$0.70−$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 15:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.7199998925$1.34
10-13 15:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-13 14:12Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9199999628$1.98
10-13 14:12Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.9099996553$1.98
10-13 14:11Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$1.92
10-13 13:24Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13?BUY0.056$1.83
10-13 13:22Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13?BUY0.9459999866$1.98
10-13 12:16Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?SELL0.54$0.05
10-13 12:15Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?SELL0.53$2.66
10-13 11:23Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?BUY0.3299999861$1.90
10-13 11:23Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 13?BUY0.3599999848$1.90
10-13 11:22Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?BUY0.3799999841$1.91
10-13 11:22Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 13?BUY0.3599999698$1.91
10-13 10:09Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.5799999156$1.10
10-13 10:09Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.5299999176$1.93
Trader 0x41bcf310c381d3dbd633f15e767bbb61e9697b53 · PolyBot Pro