PolyBot

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Traders

melonnoob

0x41b8f805388bc2146fccb21bb31d3563b9286660

Realised P&L
$3.86
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$171.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 25? · Yes0.0920.110$18.19+$2.88
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 25? · Yes0.2430.330$17.65+$4.67
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 25? · Yes0.1530.280$17.37+$7.87
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 25? · Yes0.2450.255$15.08+$0.57
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 25? · Yes0.1890.195$14.12+$0.41
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 25? · Yes0.3790.560$13.02+$4.21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25? · Yes0.1870.145$7.71−$2.26
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25? · Yes0.2660.370$6.10+$1.72
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 25? · No0.6300.905$5.67+$1.72
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 25? · No0.6700.850$5.02+$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? · No0.6700.850$5.00+$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 25? · No0.5420.450$4.91−$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 25? · No0.6700.885$4.61+$1.12
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 25? · No0.5700.735$4.15+$0.93
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25? · Yes0.3000.420$3.77+$1.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 07:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 25?BUY0.16$1.05
09-25 06:08Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 26?BUY0.1906542056$1.02
09-25 06:08Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?BUY0.1799999775$1.12
09-25 06:08Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 25?BUY0.16$1.25
09-25 06:08Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 25?BUY0.25$1.56
09-25 05:54Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 25?BUY0.3399999375$1.74
09-25 05:27Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 26?BUY0.06$0.30
09-25 05:19Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25?BUY0.3799999653$1.97
09-25 05:15Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26?BUY0.4099999361$2.18
09-25 05:15Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25?BUY0.3899999519$2.43
09-25 05:15Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25?BUY0.2999999888$2.69
09-25 05:15Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 25?BUY0.5099999679$3.02
09-25 05:14Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?BUY0.1699999901$1.37
09-25 05:14Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 25?BUY0.261509429$1.54
09-25 05:08Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 26?BUY0.1699999983$1.00