melonnoob
0x41b8f805388bc2146fccb21bb31d3563b9286660
- Realised P&L
- $3.86
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $171.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.80at 0.246Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 24?
- +$11.48at 0.219Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 24?
- +$10.64at 0.410Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24?
- +$4.65at 0.652Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on September 24?
- +$3.18at 0.686Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.05 |
| 09-25 06:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.1906542056 | $1.02 |
| 09-25 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.1799999775 | $1.12 |
| 09-25 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.25 |
| 09-25 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.56 |
| 09-25 05:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.3399999375 | $1.74 |
| 09-25 05:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 09-25 05:19 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.3799999653 | $1.97 |
| 09-25 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.4099999361 | $2.18 |
| 09-25 05:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.3899999519 | $2.43 |
| 09-25 05:15 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.2999999888 | $2.69 |
| 09-25 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.5099999679 | $3.02 |
| 09-25 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.1699999901 | $1.37 |
| 09-25 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.261509429 | $1.54 |
| 09-25 05:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |