0x41B8038B7245B412c7e2DC83204B614932311c0D-1772795483317
0x41b8038b7245b412c7e2dc83204b614932311c0d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.2k
- Volume
- $94.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.125 | $2.4k | −$9.1k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.175 | $181.27 | −$440.23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up | 0.378 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.80at 0.270Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$36.72at 0.304Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
- +$30.12at 0.250Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.90at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$-4.05at 0.388Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 20:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | SELL | 0.1838679632 | $654.61 |
| 06-04 19:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | SELL | 0.35 | $22.25 |
| 06-04 12:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | BUY | 0.29 | $101.45 |
| 06-04 12:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | BUY | 0.29 | $24.70 |
| 06-04 12:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | BUY | 0.29 | $113.88 |
| 06-04 03:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | BUY | 0.2980184 | $894.06 |
| 06-02 16:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | BUY | 0.53 | $318.00 |
| 06-02 09:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $450.00 |
| 06-02 09:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $450.00 |
| 06-02 09:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $44.00 |
| 06-01 08:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $307.50 |
| 06-01 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1926262665 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |