zagzig123
0x41b4cd880a61de2f5728594decf7f2cbfc2a10da
- Realised P&L
- $42.0k
- Volume
- $4.10M
- Markets traded
- 631
- Open portfolio
- $201.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded631
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15? · No | 0.742 | 0.050 | $201.29 | −$2.8k |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14? · No | 0.578 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.2kat 0.280Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-08-09?
- +$11.4kat 0.489US Open WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Dayana Yastremska
- +$11.0kat 0.422Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade
- +$10.5kat 0.503Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- +$9.9kat 0.512Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.65 | $20.10 |
| 10-14 13:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6883333333 | $20.65 |
| 10-14 13:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.7108366172 | $187.60 |
| 10-14 13:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $152.85 |
| 10-14 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 10-14 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $798.72 |
| 10-13 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6594 | $296.73 |
| 10-13 22:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6774785667 | $30.82 |
| 10-13 22:27 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6300126236 | $239.56 |
| 10-13 19:30 | RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4499999982 | $50.74 |
| 10-13 19:30 | RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $365.43 |
| 10-13 19:26 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6346922111 | $323.34 |
| 10-13 19:22 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.4572795295 | $174.17 |
| 10-13 18:33 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6596309291 | $199.28 |
| 10-13 14:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.7104575163 | $108.70 |