PolyBot

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Traders

zagzig123

0x41b4cd880a61de2f5728594decf7f2cbfc2a10da

Realised P&L
$42.0k
Volume
$4.10M
Markets traded
631
Open portfolio
$201.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded631
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15? · No0.7420.050$201.29−$2.8k
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14? · No0.5780.000$0.00−$3.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 14:08Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15?BUY0.65$20.10
10-14 13:27Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15?BUY0.6883333333$20.65
10-14 13:18Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 15?BUY0.7108366172$187.60
10-14 13:16Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 14?SELL0.999$152.85
10-14 13:15Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14?SELL0.999$1.1k
10-14 13:15Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?SELL0.999$798.72
10-13 22:28Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14?BUY0.6594$296.73
10-13 22:27Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?BUY0.6774785667$30.82
10-13 22:27Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?BUY0.6300126236$239.56
10-13 19:30RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 2.5BUY0.4499999982$50.74
10-13 19:30RB Leipzig vs. PSV: O/U 2.5BUY0.44$365.43
10-13 19:26Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 14?BUY0.6346922111$323.34
10-13 19:22Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 14?BUY0.4572795295$174.17
10-13 18:33Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?BUY0.6596309291$199.28
10-13 14:26Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on October 14?BUY0.7104575163$108.70