0x41b4ab4bdd1de2f7e36003775a18adc7ba63dad2
- Realised P&L
- $-6.2k
- Volume
- $234.0k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $8.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.040 | $6.9k | −$5.0k |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.064 | 0.040 | $1.5k | −$927.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-245.54at 0.030Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 23:25 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0542792 | $108.56 |
| 08-29 20:16 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0519437 | $155.83 |
| 08-29 16:31 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0525076067 | $157.52 |
| 08-29 07:16 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.05042035 | $100.84 |
| 08-28 22:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $96.00 |
| 08-17 21:38 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $1.28 |
| 08-17 21:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0579999991 | $56.70 |
| 08-16 11:11 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $74.00 |
| 08-16 07:39 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.06835347 | $68.35 |
| 08-16 07:38 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.071194102 | $355.97 |
| 08-15 20:36 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.066791135 | $133.58 |
| 08-15 06:00 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $33.00 |
| 08-14 22:03 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $33.00 |
| 08-14 08:34 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.072 | $360.00 |
| 08-14 01:51 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $335.00 |