0x41b4ab4bdd1de2f7e36003775a18adc7ba63dad2
0x41b4ab4bdd1de2f7e36003775a18adc7ba63dad2
- Realised P&L
- $-245.54
- Volume
- $576.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $8.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.013 | $5.4k | −$17.0k |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.057 | 0.014 | $2.5k | −$7.8k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $74.80 | −$6.80 |
| Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.029 | $4.42 | +$2.71 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.365 | $3.65 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-245.54at 0.030Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:50 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0219775411 | $197.80 |
| 10-31 09:50 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $33.00 |
| 10-31 08:37 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $24.30 |
| 10-31 08:16 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $24.30 |
| 10-31 08:16 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $22.00 |
| 10-30 23:21 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.02299375 | $183.95 |
| 10-30 22:27 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.61 |
| 10-28 20:08 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0277407333 | $112.35 |
| 10-28 20:08 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0289612093 | $43.59 |
| 10-26 14:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0325600405 | $634.92 |
| 10-21 16:27 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $52.50 |
| 10-18 07:44 | Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.0114483333 | $1.72 |
| 10-17 07:50 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $7.44 |
| 10-17 06:58 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $39.00 |
| 10-17 04:31 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $39.00 |