PolyBot

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Traders

0x41b4ab4bdd1de2f7e36003775a18adc7ba63dad2

0x41b4ab4bdd1de2f7e36003775a18adc7ba63dad2

Realised P&L
$-245.54
Volume
$576.7k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0560.013$5.4k−$17.0k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.0570.014$2.5k−$7.8k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0600.055$74.80−$6.80
Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0110.029$4.42+$2.71
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4700.365$3.65−$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 09:50Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0219775411$197.80
10-31 09:50Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$33.00
10-31 08:37Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$24.30
10-31 08:16Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.06$24.30
10-31 08:16Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.022$22.00
10-30 23:21Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.02299375$183.95
10-30 22:27Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.024$1.61
10-28 20:08Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0277407333$112.35
10-28 20:08Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0289612093$43.59
10-26 14:26Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0325600405$634.92
10-21 16:27Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.035$52.50
10-18 07:44Will Hilton win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?BUY0.0114483333$1.72
10-17 07:50Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.039$7.44
10-17 06:58Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.039$39.00
10-17 04:31Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.039$39.00