0x41B0e36A763Ff4a009c14801F49cf4B5cb80e47B-1772050855375
0x41b0e36a763ff4a009c14801f49cf4b5cb80e47b
- Realised P&L
- $160.03
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $76.78
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.30at 0.327Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 20?
- +$118.61at 0.183Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 24?
- +$99.49at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$80.19at 0.406Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 21?
- +$61.55at 0.078Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:12 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.2999999934 | $4.55 |
| 09-21 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0441321642 | $1.52 |
| 09-21 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.1346783594 | $3.29 |
| 09-21 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0299999998 | $1.52 |
| 09-21 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.3299999897 | $5.12 |
| 09-21 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.12 |
| 09-21 04:24 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.52 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5799999938 | $7.51 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.0742903217 | $10.02 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.48 | $6.36 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.6199999683 | $6.65 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.1367035597 | $4.57 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.619999995 | $7.41 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.1696073872 | $8.16 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.1204073512 | $2.11 |