PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xVincent

0x41acd5163edddeebe26d766a07c55553ed83a95b

Realised P&L
$-255.39
Volume
$8.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$31.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 07:322026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.27$9.45
06-29 04:18Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.18$32.05
06-27 13:03Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.05$9.68
06-27 07:02Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.06$9.41
06-27 03:31Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.017$0.70
06-27 03:12Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.04$4.40
06-26 01:46Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
06-25 07:12Will United States win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.54$10.80
06-25 07:12Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.53$10.60
06-25 07:11Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.652$9.78
02-02 15:28Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.014$2.52
01-30 05:56Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.018$3.60
01-29 04:32Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.029$1.19
01-28 18:02Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?BUY0.062$12.40
12-10 02:37Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 10?BUY0.1899999569$3.00