0xVincent
0x41acd5163edddeebe26d766a07c55553ed83a95b
- Realised P&L
- $-255.39
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $31.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.33at 0.120Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$25.52at 0.084Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 7?
- +$19.50at 0.131Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on July 29 at 5PM ET?
- +$17.50at 0.220Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 5 at 5PM ET?
- +$15.18at 0.157Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 07:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.27 | $9.45 |
| 06-29 04:18 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.18 | $32.05 |
| 06-27 13:03 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.05 | $9.68 |
| 06-27 07:02 | Will Panama win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.41 |
| 06-27 03:31 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.70 |
| 06-27 03:12 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.40 |
| 06-26 01:46 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 07:12 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 06-25 07:12 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 06-25 07:11 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.652 | $9.78 |
| 02-02 15:28 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.52 |
| 01-30 05:56 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BUY | 0.018 | $3.60 |
| 01-29 04:32 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.19 |
| 01-28 18:02 | Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | BUY | 0.062 | $12.40 |
| 12-10 02:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 10? | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |