chinatime69
0x41a491a889d3802e92397dfcecbf0e56eb40621f
- Realised P&L
- $-9.90
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $89.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.062 | $58.36 | −$20.18 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.110 | $30.93 | −$19.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.62at 0.347Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 9?
- +$4.73at 0.720Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 23:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3032590181 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 23:51 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3357865452 | $25.00 |
| 08-05 21:01 | Will Rob Callister be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man? | BUY | 0.0834377988 | $78.54 |
| 08-04 22:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999426 | $12.00 |
| 08-04 21:44 | Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1778452245 | $50.00 |