PolyBot

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Traders

0x41a0da3bcf03083a0183e6452c8da2503b846e8e

0x41a0da3bcf03083a0183e6452c8da2503b846e8e

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$77.9k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$392.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1290.095$346.95−$124.36
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1200.055$45.83−$54.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 11:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$239.90
10-21 11:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0274728118$242.31
10-20 19:46Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0259773084$229.12
09-22 07:10Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$231.41
09-06 06:52Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.119999999$100.00
03-13 05:05Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2098235119$118.77
03-13 05:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL0.017$118.45
01-13 11:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999997$403.00
01-13 11:28Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?SELL0.029$404.80
12-28 22:34Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999998$794.00
12-28 22:18Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999995$141.00
12-28 22:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.006$40.00
12-28 18:52Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.0149999999$100.00
12-28 08:49Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1$497.00
12-24 15:57Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?BUY0.08$199.00