PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Serega38

0x419be42e6a9899d6ce2b443d17052a990b3f0944

Realised P&L
$55.6k
Volume
$524.1k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.8200.998$1.4k+$248.50
Will Kenya win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.1100.035$233.98−$501.37
Lightning vs. Stars · Stars0.4700.000$0.00−$7.3k
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$1.7k
Senators vs. Flames · Flames0.4000.000$0.00−$389.31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24? · No0.1500.000$0.00−$328.46
Warriors vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.6800.000$0.00−$1.2k
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$6.1k
Spurs vs. Nets · Nets0.1450.000$0.00−$555.44
Sabres vs. Penguins · Penguins0.5100.000$0.00−$745.94
Hurricanes vs. Oilers · Oilers0.4600.000$0.00−$386.92
Senators vs. Kraken · Kraken0.4700.000$0.00−$387.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$148.62
Oilers vs. Ducks · Oilers0.5300.000$0.00−$783.36
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$245.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 15:33Will Kenya win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.11$439.55
10-01 15:13Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.82$114.80
03-06 04:34Senators vs. KrakenBUY0.47$387.49
03-05 13:50Hurricanes vs. OilersBUY0.46$386.92
03-04 16:53Senators vs. FlamesBUY0.4$389.31
03-04 16:24Sabres vs. PenguinsBUY0.51$372.97
03-04 16:22Sabres vs. PenguinsBUY0.51$372.97
03-03 18:00Thunder vs. BullsBUY0.78$43.2k
03-03 09:26Hurricanes vs. CanucksSELL0.28$42.00
03-03 09:25Hurricanes vs. CanucksBUY0.2865534111$371.93
03-03 09:04Hurricanes vs. CanucksSELL0.26$297.49
03-03 08:54Hurricanes vs. CanucksSELL0.27$36.37
03-03 08:52Hurricanes vs. CanucksBUY0.2719424202$347.79
03-01 20:07Cavaliers vs. NetsBUY0.83$52.7k
02-28 21:13Panthers vs. IslandersBUY0.45$948.50