0x4198b0a6db4f9898a1b20d11b3cb760b84a133a2
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $11.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? · No | 0.600 | 0.640 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.940 | 0.987 | $2.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1? · No | 0.970 | 0.983 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.915 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1? · No | 0.660 | 0.295 | $0.89 | −$1.11 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 00:57 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 11-02 00:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 23:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1? | BUY | 0.9699999951 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 23:12 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 23:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |