PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jhgk

0x4197cfa6a6d71dc2a977514069dc1b3f571b7778

Realised P&L
$-19.42
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$15.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No0.9980.999$13.41+$0.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · No0.7500.745$1.89−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 17? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 6? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$3.30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 15? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on January 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$2.30
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 11–18? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$5.50
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$3.10
Israel strikes Iran by September 30? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on December 7? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 13:06Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?BUY0.9979999783$13.40
10-08 12:59Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.7499998026$1.90
09-25 09:21Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.999$13.30
09-25 09:19Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)BUY0.5$1.00
07-29 11:55Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?BUY0.999$14.30
06-09 12:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9?BUY0.999$94.00
06-06 01:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6?BUY0.9989999904$94.00
05-25 11:49Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 26?BUY0.9989999904$94.00
05-21 09:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 22?BUY0.999$94.00
05-15 11:13Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 15?BUY0.998$93.00
05-09 12:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?BUY0.999$93.00
05-06 07:40Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.999$93.00
04-30 11:56Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.999$93.00
04-25 08:31Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?BUY0.999$92.99
04-19 09:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 19?BUY0.999$92.99