PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

777porto

0x41813b5dd979bd6f857e085dc9a13ea53079e4fb

Realised P&L
$-628.66
Volume
$24.7k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$102.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3100.560$90.30+$40.30
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2600.235$11.75−$1.25
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.59
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$13.50
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$64.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 04:13Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.5$14.60
10-26 04:13Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9857142857$13.80
10-12 19:53Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?BUY0.26$13.00
10-12 19:53Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3100775194$50.00
10-12 19:53Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$43.29
08-25 15:02NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9759995683$1.70
04-12 08:33Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.25$1.59
12-25 15:08Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?BUY0.9069058132$58.62
12-25 15:08Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?SELL0.0951706842$58.63
12-20 20:40Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?BUY0.3$70.34
12-20 20:40Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?SELL0.62$70.34
12-20 20:39Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?BUY0.3$69.09
12-20 20:39Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?SELL0.22$69.09
12-20 20:36Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31?BUY0.3$28.06
12-20 20:36Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?SELL0.23$28.06