Pattendenesd
0x4178f0c3f6fa2cea7f993d3f4ab2d00e9d161990
- Realised P&L
- $-26.82
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $0.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.050 | $0.99 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.00at 0.116Iran coup attempt by December 31?
- +$0.93at 0.967Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.982Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.918Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
- +$0.00at 0.900Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 08:08 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.244 | $48.80 |
| 07-29 07:43 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $434.04 |
| 07-17 02:38 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.984 | $448.70 |
| 07-17 02:01 | Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $449.65 |
| 07-03 05:59 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $94.90 |
| 07-03 05:27 | Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $47.50 |
| 06-24 02:41 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $446.40 |
| 06-24 01:53 | Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | BUY | 0.918 | $443.39 |
| 06-23 04:59 | Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | BUY | 0.926 | $449.11 |
| 06-23 02:52 | Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $446.40 |
| 06-16 05:04 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $243.00 |
| 06-16 03:15 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? | BUY | 0.977 | $255.97 |
| 06-15 03:06 | Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $255.71 |