PolyBot

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Traders

Pattendenesd

0x4178f0c3f6fa2cea7f993d3f4ab2d00e9d161990

Realised P&L
$-26.82
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$0.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? · Yes0.0420.050$0.99+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 08:08Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 30, 2026?SELL0.244$48.80
07-29 07:43Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?BUY0.982$434.04
07-17 02:38Israeli forces enter Beirut by July 31?BUY0.984$448.70
07-17 02:01Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.967$449.65
07-03 05:59Iran coup attempt by December 31?SELL0.13$94.90
07-03 05:27Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?SELL0.05$47.50
06-24 02:41Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.93$446.40
06-24 01:53Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?BUY0.918$443.39
06-23 04:59Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?BUY0.926$449.11
06-23 02:52Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?BUY0.93$446.40
06-16 05:04Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9$243.00
06-16 03:15Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?BUY0.977$255.97
06-15 03:06Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.91$255.71