73dc
0x417881875445a74972cbe7f9f369b99b28fd3359
- Realised P&L
- $-70.84
- Volume
- $102.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $34.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $28.20 | −$98.71 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.994 | 1.000 | $1.17 | +$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 4? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? · No | 0.993 | 0.993 | $1.16 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.90at 0.005Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.90at 0.006Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?
- +$1.39at 0.986Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
- +$1.34at 0.521Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 15:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 09-04 15:42 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 09-04 15:41 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.16 |
| 09-04 15:41 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.16 |
| 09-04 15:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9929999949 | $1.16 |
| 08-10 05:11 | Will Bytedance have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.17 |
| 08-10 05:10 | Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 08-10 05:10 | Will Xiaomi have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 08-10 05:09 | Will MiniMax have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 08-10 05:09 | Will Moonshot have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 07-02 06:03 | Will "honeybee - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 07-02 06:01 | Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 07-02 06:01 | Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 07-02 06:00 | Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |
| 07-02 06:00 | Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song in the US this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.08 |