tm877
0x417695698103e02970febdaf6773bd30aae7a875
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $266.8k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $185.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.1kat 0.800Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
- +$2.0kat 0.200Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
- +$917.56at 0.144Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$423.59at 0.266Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
- +$382.47at 0.286Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:49 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.08 | $7.00 |
| 07-13 00:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.51 | $402.30 |
| 07-13 00:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.52 | $732.40 |
| 07-13 00:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.8k |
| 07-13 00:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.2k |
| 07-12 03:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.5 | $564.95 |
| 07-12 03:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.5 | $799.92 |
| 07-11 14:12 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.15 | $34.71 |
| 07-11 14:12 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 07-08 14:43 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.13 | $5.85 |
| 07-08 14:43 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.13 | $14.95 |
| 07-08 06:34 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.13 | $14.30 |
| 07-08 06:32 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.12 | $14.40 |
| 07-07 15:31 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 07-07 12:49 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |