PolyBot

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Traders

tm877

0x417695698103e02970febdaf6773bd30aae7a875

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$266.8k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$185.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.1270.090$178.12$73.06
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.015$7.88$2.12
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$150.00
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$150.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$150.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$144.00
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00$500.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$150.00
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$150.00
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$150.00
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$150.00
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$150.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 23-29? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$25.90
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$150.00
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 02:49Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.08$7.00
07-13 00:37Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.51$402.30
07-13 00:35Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.52$732.40
07-13 00:34Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.52$1.8k
07-13 00:34Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.52$1.2k
07-12 03:17Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.5$564.95
07-12 03:14Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.5$799.92
07-11 14:12Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.15$34.71
07-11 14:12Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.14$7.00
07-08 14:43Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.13$5.85
07-08 14:43Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.13$14.95
07-08 06:34Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.13$14.30
07-08 06:32Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.12$14.40
07-07 15:31Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.11$11.00
07-07 12:49Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.1$10.00