ttyytytyyytt
0x416e2d8a2f5948d4f0689dc1797262280107a47f
- Realised P&L
- $-277.31
- Volume
- $299.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,657
- Open portfolio
- $26.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,657
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$348.70at 0.500US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$231.46at 0.5372026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31?
- +$194.36at 0.8322026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 60% by March 31?
- +$166.00at 0.500US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?
- +$163.60at 0.591Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0010759283 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 04:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 10:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 09-23 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $0.98 |
| 09-23 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $4.50 |
| 09-23 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $0.50 |
| 09-23 09:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 06-30 17:41 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 06-30 17:39 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 06-30 17:39 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |