0x416b54719977843a75AEBC22a7944dE94c40950a-1776686034620
0x416b54719977843a75aebc22a7944de94c40950a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $187.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $23.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1?
- +$1.2kat 0.251Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 21?
- +$377.01at 0.443Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$368.52at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8AM ET
- +$334.84at 0.646Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 08:20 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $22.93 |
| 09-26 07:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.1181102362 | $500.00 |
| 06-01 15:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? | SELL | 0.7949633395 | $3.6k |
| 06-01 06:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? | BUY | 0.122576731 | $561.05 |
| 05-31 14:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 31? | BUY | 0.0115192298 | $3.76 |
| 05-30 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5002982528 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 08:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.419999994 | $25.00 |
| 05-29 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5442791323 | $56.70 |
| 05-29 18:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-29 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $97.09 |