Sasha22
0x4167a0116a130b96967bf9e082588d8085f1ca47
- Realised P&L
- $-205.48
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $186.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.758 | 0.375 | $186.04 | −$190.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.06at 0.680Qatar Total Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina
- +$23.80at 0.830Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$17.79at 0.849Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari
- +$11.11at 0.900Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
- +$11.11at 0.900Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 10:10 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0179079918 | $2.89 |
| 03-31 23:13 | Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | SELL | 0.3339819472 | $43.29 |
| 03-31 20:38 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.53 | $59.89 |
| 03-30 21:43 | Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.48 |
| 02-26 22:21 | Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $116.20 |
| 02-25 13:13 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $100.30 |
| 02-24 22:31 | Chile Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Ignacio Buse | SELL | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 02-24 20:41 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-24? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 02-23 16:16 | Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhang | BUY | 0.92 | $101.20 |
| 02-22 22:09 | Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Korda | BUY | 0.97 | $97.00 |
| 02-17 21:52 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17? | BUY | 0.9872357391 | $100.00 |
| 02-16 19:22 | Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng Shang | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 02-16 17:29 | Qatar Open: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 02-14 19:35 | Rotterdam Open: Alexander Bublik vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.998999991 | $100.00 |
| 02-13 16:09 | Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria Mboko | BUY | 0.9984508436 | $100.00 |