castle.j.soul1
0x4167933f6c0f059765b5c8898d44cc342af6f99a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $90.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,234
- Open portfolio
- $268.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,234
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.17at 0.687Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 16?
- +$141.03at 0.832Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 16?
- +$140.77at 0.760Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 12?
- +$98.28at 0.755Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 20?
- +$97.16at 0.756Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be 75°F or below on October 16? | BUY | 0.919 | $5.02 |
| 10-13 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.86 | $19.96 |
| 10-13 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.8479999966 | $29.99 |
| 10-13 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $29.44 |
| 10-13 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.7291056304 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 12:44 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-13 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.52 |
| 10-13 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15? | BUY | 0.8395068206 | $16.00 |
| 10-12 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.819999997 | $16.64 |
| 10-12 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $33.02 |
| 10-11 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $49.99 |
| 10-11 22:41 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.23 |
| 10-11 22:27 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-11 22:13 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.78 | $9.70 |
| 10-11 21:59 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.78 | $21.61 |