PolyBot

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Traders

castle.j.soul1

0x4167933f6c0f059765b5c8898d44cc342af6f99a

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$90.4k
Markets traded
3,234
Open portfolio
$268.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,234
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or below on October 15? · No0.9201.000$53.47+$4.25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 75°F or below on October 16? · No0.9010.827$45.84−$4.13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15? · No0.8530.610$35.70−$14.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15? · No0.7290.855$35.18+$5.18
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 15? · No0.9200.998$31.92+$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16? · No0.9200.915$29.28−$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15? · No0.8591.000$25.05+$3.53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or below on October 17? · No0.8800.986$8.22+$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16? · No0.9200.920$3.91+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27? · No0.7100.000$0.00−$98.41
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C on May 22? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$14.60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 19? · No0.6950.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on May 19? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 29? · No0.7300.000$0.00−$5.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 16:37Will the highest temperature in Houston be 75°F or below on October 16?BUY0.919$5.02
10-13 23:34Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15?BUY0.86$19.96
10-13 23:22Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 15?BUY0.8479999966$29.99
10-13 16:24Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 15?BUY0.92$29.44
10-13 12:51Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 15?BUY0.7291056304$30.00
10-13 12:44Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or below on October 15?BUY0.92$4.60
10-13 07:15Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15?BUY0.92$5.52
10-13 06:46Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15?BUY0.8395068206$16.00
10-12 07:07Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?BUY0.819999997$16.64
10-12 06:53Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C or below on October 14?BUY0.8$33.02
10-11 22:55Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?BUY0.7399999896$49.99
10-11 22:41Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?BUY0.73$5.23
10-11 22:27Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?BUY0.8$16.00
10-11 22:13Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?BUY0.78$9.70
10-11 21:59Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?BUY0.78$21.61