gegeok1
0x41676f6c1f7a2b93efd409ab34f6494e9fce9044
- Realised P&L
- $-28.81
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $16.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.61at 0.013Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
- +$9.60at 0.620Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
- +$9.12at 0.040Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 22?
- +$7.92at 0.640DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
- +$6.00at 0.700Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 04:54 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.913 | $45.65 |
| 08-22 03:11 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 08-22 02:23 | Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.26 |
| 07-01 01:34 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-01 01:33 | Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3? | SELL | 0.0457391478 | $2.29 |
| 07-01 01:32 | Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by July 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 06-30 15:31 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.30 |
| 06-29 15:46 | Meta (META) Up or Down on June 29? | SELL | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 06-29 14:48 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 06-29 14:35 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 29? | SELL | 0.947 | $18.94 |
| 06-29 13:59 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31? | SELL | 0.951 | $47.54 |
| 06-29 13:12 | Will LAB dip to $8 before 2027? | SELL | 0.937 | $9.37 |
| 06-29 11:57 | Will nocries play an HLTV-recorded match by June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 06-29 09:21 | Will LAB dip to $10 before 2027? | SELL | 0.927 | $18.54 |
| 06-29 06:22 | Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in June 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |