PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zzzccca

0x416712207c1787574a135fedd83274e64b07585d

Realised P&L
$-102.82
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6970.556$2.0k−$505.14
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.8150.795$2.0k−$50.30
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.936$1.2k+$216.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 02:37Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0321682073$35.29
10-30 00:38Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.4078994$203.95
10-30 00:38Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?SELL0.47783304$238.92
10-28 12:50Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?SELL0.3802021239$385.24
10-26 05:56Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1884580737$40.00
10-25 11:55Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1657611197$50.00
10-25 10:11Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2060411258$100.00
10-25 10:11Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1821900151$200.00
10-21 12:40Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7122988949$500.00
10-21 12:40Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.4934633413$500.00
10-21 12:39Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7122252064$1000.00
10-21 12:38Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6762914287$1000.00
10-21 12:38Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.7699457405$1000.00
10-21 12:37Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.8158279558$2.0k
10-21 12:33Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.6899999821$5.00