zzzccca
0x416712207c1787574a135fedd83274e64b07585d
- Realised P&L
- $-102.82
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.697 | 0.556 | $2.0k | −$505.14 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.815 | 0.795 | $2.0k | −$50.30 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.936 | $1.2k | +$216.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.38at 0.197Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$-149.20at 0.511Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:37 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0321682073 | $35.29 |
| 10-30 00:38 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4078994 | $203.95 |
| 10-30 00:38 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47783304 | $238.92 |
| 10-28 12:50 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3802021239 | $385.24 |
| 10-26 05:56 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1884580737 | $40.00 |
| 10-25 11:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1657611197 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 10:11 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2060411258 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 10:11 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1821900151 | $200.00 |
| 10-21 12:40 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7122988949 | $500.00 |
| 10-21 12:40 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4934633413 | $500.00 |
| 10-21 12:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7122252064 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 12:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6762914287 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 12:38 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7699457405 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 12:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8158279558 | $2.0k |
| 10-21 12:33 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |