Bobefalopa69x
0x4162b49791917d22452d7dc18a3c9f75bc7446cf
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $76.9k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $191.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.335 | $191.43 | −$8.57 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$216.30 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) · Seahawks | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$154.00 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Rams | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$175.44 |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys · Chiefs | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$277.99 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Packers vs. Bears · Packers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.60 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$240.54 |
| Packers vs. Lions · Lions | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Rams vs. Bears · Bears | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$600.79at 0.326US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$287.19at 0.776Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$188.00at 0.530Spread: Patriots (-5.5)
- +$171.79at 0.486Spread: Ravens (-4.5)
- +$163.78at 0.450Bengals vs. Texans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:30 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-20 01:11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.28 | $334.00 |
| 10-19 17:15 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $334.00 |
| 10-15 17:34 | Spread: Ravens (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5199999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-15 00:22 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $24.00 |
| 10-15 00:15 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $130.00 |
| 10-14 16:18 | Spread: Ravens (-4.5) | BUY | 0.4699999995 | $130.00 |
| 10-14 13:21 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $107.14 |
| 10-14 13:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.3 | $163.33 |
| 10-14 13:21 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.37 | $154.42 |
| 10-13 17:27 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5199999989 | $112.60 |
| 10-13 17:26 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $118.22 |
| 10-12 01:32 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $128.35 |
| 10-12 01:14 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6199999992 | $250.00 |
| 10-11 19:48 | Spread: Broncos (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $90.36 |