0x415F5f0C4cd0bEe5e2C44b57d6Bd41eD2D072F98-1721586441621
0x415f5f0c4cd0bee5e2c44b57d6bd41ed2d072f98
- Realised P&L
- $-112.53
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $3.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $3.58 | −$0.03 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.40 |
| Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year? · No | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.28 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.40 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.00at 0.190RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 18:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 03-15 23:04 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 01-28 19:58 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.013 | $20.15 |
| 01-11 12:35 | Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year? | BUY | 0.83 | $332.00 |
| 07-26 10:00 | RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |