PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x415F5f0C4cd0bEe5e2C44b57d6Bd41eD2D072F98-1721586441621

0x415f5f0c4cd0bee5e2c44b57d6bd41ed2d072f98

Realised P&L
$-112.53
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$3.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026? · Yes0.7200.715$3.58−$0.03
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$2.30
Will Sinners win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$7.40
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$140.28
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00−$23.40
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$20.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 18:53Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?BUY0.72$3.60
03-15 23:04Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.3599999921$20.00
01-28 19:58Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?BUY0.013$20.15
01-11 12:35Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?BUY0.83$332.00
07-26 10:00RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?BUY0.19$19.00